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內容簡介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

評分☆☆☆☆☆

曆史1個月13天，終於到手瞭 可能需要工具書來消化這本書瞭 不知道會看多長時間

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書實在是太慢瞭！等到手都不想看瞭！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

？？？？？？？？？？？？？。？？。。。。。。。。。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

京東物流超級快，前一天晚上買，第二天就到瞭，而且這次活動力度很大，收的很多書都直接下手啦！第一本英文原版書，希望看完

評分☆☆☆☆☆

要吐槽的是包裝，這麼貴的書，連個盒子都沒有，來瞭硬皮已經被砸齣瞭幾個坑。這要是送人的禮品可怎麼辦？在京都買書，不是第一次齣現這種問題瞭。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好書好書！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

學習英語用，強迫自己去讀，有時要藉助，詞典纔能看下去。在慢慢讀

評分☆☆☆☆☆

。。。。。。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

不錯

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