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內容簡介

Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. He has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part researcher, part no-nonsense businessman, he spent eighteen years as a mathematical trader, and was the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

Fooled by Randomness[隨機緻富的傻瓜] 英文原版 [精裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

評分☆☆☆☆☆

非常好的書

評分☆☆☆☆☆

書是好書，國外的書發貨太慢太慢

評分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書實在是太慢瞭！等到手都不想看瞭！

評分☆☆☆☆☆

拿到書的時候，我隻能先默默地把書上的灰擦拭掉，褶皺的外殼也盡量能展多平就展多平。除此之外一切都很完美。書的內容是非常好的，但也提醒準備買的朋友，在購買時最好谘詢一下能否包裝得稍微好一點。本來是不打算評論的，但今天收到某舊書網發來的書，足足包瞭三層，而且是非常用心的包裝的，因為買的書在市場上沒有新書可買，隻能選擇舊書。這是我第一次在舊書網買書，剛開始是沒有報太大的期望書到時能完好無缺，但當真正收到時，我還是震驚瞭。京東一直以物流而聞名，我也是因為這個而非常喜歡在京東購物，卻在這次的購書中一對比，確實有點不是很滿意。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

學習英語用，強迫自己去讀，有時要藉助，詞典纔能看下去。在慢慢讀

評分☆☆☆☆☆

曆時1個月20天，終於到我手上瞭，算是遲來的情人節禮物，字看著舒服，行間有足夠的間隔做筆記，這個月可以好好啃瞭。

評分☆☆☆☆☆

英文原版書第一次購買

評分☆☆☆☆☆

等瞭一個月啊，據說塔勒布的書要看原版，國內的翻譯水平不行

評分☆☆☆☆☆

曆時1個月20天，終於到我手上瞭，算是遲來的情人節禮物，字看著舒服，行間有足夠的間隔做筆記，這個月可以好好啃瞭。

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