Mastering the Market Cycle

Mastering the Market Cycle pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

Howard Marks
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具体描述

One of the most successful Wall Street investors of all time provides practical insight and keen analysis on how to track, and react to, the ups and downs of the stock market. Marks reveals the hidden logic in carefully pinpointing market trends so that every investor can profit.

”When I see memos from Howard Marks in my mail, they're the first thing I open and read. I always learn something.” –Warren Buffett

Economies, companies, and markets operate according to patterns or cycles. These cycles arise from naturally occurring phenomena in everyday business, and to a large extent, from the simple ups and downs of human psychology and behavior. When should you pull out of the market? When should you stay in?

These fundamental psychological influences–including greed and fear–can and do profoundly affect investors. If you carefully study past cycles, understand their origins and import, and remain alert for the next up or down cycle, you won't have to reinvent the wheel in order to understand every investment environment. And you're less likely to be blind-sided by unexpected events.

By following Marks’s insights–which are drawn from his memorable memos to clients–you can master these recurring patterns for your own financial gain and psychological benefit.

用户评价

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其实还是直接看他的 memo 比较好,感觉他写书的能力不如写信

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##豆瓣上的人完全不理解这本书的价值。男神主要在告诉大家如何避免追高杀跌的散户心理,以及货币周期和心理是一切周期的罪魁祸首。超越市场的核心不是买好资产,而是好价格,信贷市场完全关闭时,所有人都极度悲观只看到风险时,往往是最好的买入时机。

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##"The most important things" is much better than this. Though it still provide some interesting points, but the whole book seems repeat itself all the time. I wonder " if cycles are so obvious, why other people can not operate base on it."

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##挺啰嗦的,有趣的点在最后几章。

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##凡人凡书,我却非常喜欢。cycles are not well defined/understood, just like risk, and it’s (a key) part of risk actually。不做superpredictor ,只是一个了解当下的人(where are we),是一个凡人能够卓越的道路。

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##不如前一本,推荐橡树资本的Memo

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##太阳底下无新鲜事。谨慎判断,预估风险。

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##挺啰嗦的,有趣的点在最后几章。

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##太阳底下无新鲜事。谨慎判断,预估风险。

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