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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

評分☆☆☆☆☆

錯彆字太多瞭，中信齣版社太愚蠢瞭吧

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很不錯的一本書，值得仔細研讀

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材質很差

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貨已收到，很滿意，是本好書啊！風險提示不能忘啊！

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奇怪的名字，感覺有點牽強，不知道何時都開始硬套這種動物名稱瞭，有意義麼？我看未必。

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非常不知的購買，沒有深度，通篇空話大道理

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價格優惠，有需要會繼續購買0

評分☆☆☆☆☆

好書寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡很好寶寶喜歡

評分☆☆☆☆☆

收到瞭1蠻好的

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