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編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

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這不是新書吧，裏麵居然還有蒼蠅屍體，是為瞭跟黑天鵝匹配的嗎？

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原版書的印刷質量也挺差的 封麵題目有一層膠印偏瞭 內頁剪裁也不齊

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非常值得一讀！

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書到的很快，謝謝京東

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物美價廉，物流也很快。不錯。

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混沌大學李善友教授2018年度大課推薦

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書收到狀態還可以 京東包裝是差瞭些 就一個塑料袋 還破瞭

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絕對好書，絕對好書，絕對好書。

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棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒棒

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