編輯推薦
The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.
內容簡介
A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
作者簡介
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.
精彩書評
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書
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非常的滿意,下次還會來購買。
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這本書難得打摺,送貨快!
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第一次收到包裝這麼簡陋,沒有泡沫紙和紙箱包裝的書,第一本邊角已磨損。
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買來送人,有瑕疵,不滿意
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東西不錯,價廉物美,領券時買更閤算,可以考慮迴購。希望商傢再接再勵,多迴饋顧客。
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送貨快,包裝好,價格便宜。
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到時候住酒店的時候和前颱說清楚住幾天,因為幫你們定的時候是到28日,你們要去熱帶風暴,所以住到27離店
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收到瞭1蠻好的
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書收到狀態還可以 京東包裝是差瞭些 就一個塑料袋 還破瞭