具体描述
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
##债务周期视角下的世界秩序
评分##大历史角度写的国家和市场变迁，印象最深的有两条：如果20世纪初投资美英中法俄日荷意法奥10个国家的股债现金大类资产，其中7个国家的投资会清零（有些还不止一次）；作者篇尾预测中美未来十年军事冲突的可能是35%。。。
评分##宏大的史观和抽丝剥茧后鞭辟入里的总结，非常值得一读。
评分##大时代儿女必读书目。非常清晰有价值的体系，让我可以把之前一直在纠结理清的宏观微观政治经济历史的规律与偶然，趋势与变化一股脑都扔进去。
评分##读的第二本瑞达里奥的书。此书最近感觉已经成了网红书了。很多人推荐。第一部分写的蛮不错虽然开头一副”老朽钱赚够了现在不想自己掖着了 想分享你们普罗大众一点信息” 的态度有点故弄玄虚。不过基本的原理关于国家起伏的内在原因还是阐述的很清楚。归根到底还是经济发展压倒一切。第二部分简单讲了几大霸权的起伏但是关于中国的篇幅是其他的两倍而且很多私人经验很多正面评论，难怪goodread的英文评价恶评很多 说他长他人志气 灭自己威风。不过这恰恰反映了作者的某种关于美国走下坡路的评价的正确之处。最后第三部分总结基本就是重复第一第二部分的内容。基本来说值得一读。不过略重复 但是作者很贴心的给了黑体标注重点，赶时间直接只看黑体即可。
评分##语言平实朴素，适合有条件的初高中读者拿来作课外拓展读物
评分##概括起来：中国称霸世界指日可待，概率最大
评分##大历史角度写的国家和市场变迁，印象最深的有两条：如果20世纪初投资美英中法俄日荷意法奥10个国家的股债现金大类资产，其中7个国家的投资会清零（有些还不止一次）；作者篇尾预测中美未来十年军事冲突的可能是35%。。。
评分##自荐一波我朗读的英文原版有声书～求轻拍哈哈～B站 https://b23.tv/QUb3eJU
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